Detecting direct causality in multivariate time series: A comparative study
نویسندگان
چکیده
The concept of Granger causality is increasingly being applied for the characterization directional interactions in different applications. A multivariate framework estimating essential order to account all available information from time series. However, inclusion non-informative or non-significant variables creates estimation problems related ‘curse dimensionality’. To deal with this issue, direct measures using variable selection and dimension reduction techniques have been introduced. In comparative work, performance an ensemble bivariate domain assessed, focusing on measures. particular, types high-dimensional coupled discrete systems are used (involving up 100 variables) robustness series length noise examined. results simulation study highlight superiority measures, especially systems.
منابع مشابه
Simulation Study of Direct Causality Measures in Multivariate Time Series
Measures of the direction and strength of the interdependence among time series from multivariate systems are evaluated based on their statistical significance and discrimination ability. The best-known measures estimating direct causal effects, both linear and nonlinear, are considered, i.e., conditional Granger causality index (CGCI), partial Granger causality index (PGCI), partial directed c...
متن کاملGranger-causality graphs for multivariate time series
In this paper, we discuss the properties of mixed graphs which visualize causal relationships between the components of multivariate time series. In these Granger-causality graphs, the vertices, representing the components of the time series, are connected by arrows according to the Granger-causality relations between the variables whereas lines correspond to contemporaneous conditional associa...
متن کاملDetecting Nonlinear Causality in Multivariate Time Series with Sparse Additive Models
We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a β-mixing time series, the model can be fitted by first approximating each unknown function with a linear combination of a set of B-spline bases, and then solving a group-lasso-t...
متن کاملRobust Statistics for Describing Causality in Multivariate Time Series
A widely agreed upon definition of time series causality inference, established in the seminal 1969 article of Clive Granger (1969), is based on the relative ability of the history of one time series to predict the current state of another, conditional on all other past information. While the Granger Causality (GC) principle remains uncontested, its literal application is challenged by practica...
متن کاملDetecting Causality from Nonlinear Dynamics with Short-term Time Series
Quantifying causality between variables from observed time series data is of great importance in various disciplines but also a challenging task, especially when the observed data are short. Unlike the conventional methods, we find it possible to detect causality only with very short time series data, based on embedding theory of an attractor for nonlinear dynamics. Specifically, we first show ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1878-7274', '1007-5704']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2021.105797